The Shadow of Hormuz Over Central Europe
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How Orbán’s Power Machine Cracked From Within


Hungary shows that hybrid regimes fall not only when voters turn, but when loyalists stop believing the patron is untouchable
Viktor Orbán’s defeat did not simply end 16 years of rule. It exposed the brittle logic of the informal power system in Hungary, where loyalty lasted only as long as elites believed the regime would outlive accountability.
Read moreLessons from Hungary on Europe’s Democratic Security Future


First Polish-Hungarian event in the European Parliament highlights missing democratic priorities in EU defence and security policies
For the first time since Hungary’s seismic 12 April elections, a Polish and a Hungarian MEP sat side by side at the European Parliament to discuss what democratic fragility means for European security – and what it takes to save it from within.
Read moreThe MAGA Safe House for Polish Fugitives


Trump's decision to shelter Ziobro and Romanowski is built on misleading premises
Poland’s wanted former justice minister and his deputy got an airlift to America by the MAGA circles. The case for saving the fugitives from ‘lawfare and persecution’, however, is built on shaky grounds.
Read moreHungary After Orbán. Winning Power Is Easier Than Limiting It


Even after the downfall of a corrupt regime, its legacy remains a challenge to Hungarian democracy
When Péter Magyar was sworn in as Prime Minister of Hungary on 9 May with a constitutional majority behind him, the symbolism of the moment was impossible to ignore. Yet electoral victory is only the beginning.
Read moreWarsaw’s Friends With Defence Benefits


Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2026: 11-17 May
Defence efforts in NATO’s eastern flank are in the focus of this week’s political agenda. Despite Zelenskyy’s deft political trolling of Putin’s favourite propaganda parade on the 9 May, bombs, missiles and drones are the danger from above again.
Read moreCEE Fell Out of Love with Netanyahu. How About Israel?


Public perception of Israel is changing for a reason
As the war in the Middle East continues with no clear end in sight, CEE countries change their view of Israel.
Read moreA Moment of Opportunity for Central Europe


How strengthened V4 cooperation can become a strategic asset for CEE on the global stage
The V4 leaders now eye renewed cooperation with cautious optimism, hoping the group can once again become a force for good. Success will depend on learning from past mistakes and capitalising on opportunities arising from the global turmoil.
Read moreFrugal Romanian PM Bolojan Ousted – What’s Next?


The downfall of Prime Minister (PM) Ilie Bolojan’s year-long government puts billions in EU funds at risk
The no-confidence motion filed jointly by Romania’s ruling PSD and the far-right opposition AUR party toppled Prime Minister (PM) Ilie Bolojan in a landslide. As President Nicușor Dan scrambles to mediate the crisis and rule out early elections that could hand anti-European forces an outright majority, Romania enters a period...
Read moreV4 Revival: Babiš, Fico and Tusk Call Magyar Their d’Artagnan


The Yerevan selfie of three PMs revives the Visegrad Group
Slovakia’s Prime Minister (PM) Robert Fico posted a photo of himself with Poland’s PM Donald Tusk and Czechia’s Andrej Babiš. Could this be a sign of renewed cooperation, and what does Ukraine have to do with it?
Read moreEurope Meets In Yerevan While Putin Scrambles His Parade


Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2026: 4-10 May
It is a week of high-level gatherings. In Yerevan, leaders of the European Political Community convene for their eighth summit right under Russia’s nose – to once again search for a deterrent against the Russian threat and America’s regrouping in Europe.
Read morePoland’s Court Ruling on Same-sex Marriage is a Precedent – But Pitfalls Remain


By enforcing the CJEU judgment, Poland’s Supreme Administrative Court has narrowed the long-standing legal grey zone in CEE
Poland’s Supreme Administrative Court ordered the registration of a foreign same-sex marriage certificate. The case makes a strong precedent for the rest of the region, but the implementation is far from complete.
Read moreThe V4 Economies Weather Off Hormuz Blockade


Energy diversification in the V4 is only halfway through but already brings resilience
The Three Seas Initiative Summit in Dubrovnik consolidates US energy supplies in the region against the backdrop of supply disruptions from the Strait of Hormuz. V4 countries face varying levels of vulnerability but may benefit from deepening regional integration and Poland’s growing role as a gas hub.
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The war in Europe should be understood not merely as an external event factor engaging select democratic partners in support for Ukraine, but also a deliberate subversion from within against all EU democracies and the collective fabric of the Union. The ‘Democracies at War. War on Democracies’ report tells the story of European democratic ambitions and why the EU’s military buildup needs strengthening democratic foundations across the block to succeed.
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