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How CEE MEPs Voted On Ursula No-Confidence

Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2025: 13-19 October

Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) showed a stark split in support for Ursula von der Leyen, with 103 MEPs from the region backing her in a no-confidence vote, while 61 voted for her removal and many remained undecided, exemplifying a deep political divide within the EU also in the region.

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How Orbán’s Anti-Ukraine Crusade Fuels Hungary’s Election War Machine

Anti-Ukraine sentiment and war threats are exploited for political gain in Hungary

As Hungary gears up for the 2026 elections, Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz party is doubling down on anti-Ukraine rhetoric, painting Kyiv as a threat to national sovereignty and economic stability. By demonising Ukraine and linking rival Péter Magyar to foreign plots, Orbán’s propaganda machine serves Moscow’s interests while deepening Hungary’s isolation...

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Leaders Split on the EU Drone Wall – East and West

Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2025: 6 - 12 October

Last week’s Copenhagen EU summit exposed deep rifts over the Drone Wall initiative. Backed by frontline states, the €1 billion anti-drone technology plan to counter Russian air attacks highlighted a stark East-West divide among EU leaders.

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This Polish-German Border Community Still Believes In The European Miracle – LONG READ

Protected against their will, two towns on either side of the border defy new immigration controls and far-right citizen patrols

Prime Minister Donald Tusk introduced controls on the Polish-German border in July, in an attempt to outgamble the Polish far-right. Three months on and the right continues to stoke anti-immigration pressure, with more protests expected this month, while Warsaw extends controls until April. Yet, a week spent on the border...

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Prague’s Election Looms Large Over Central Europe’s Security Fate

State of Czechia 2025 – RECAP

As Czech voters head to the polls this weekend, the stakes for regional security couldn’t be higher.

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A New Gaza Rage Machine – with Polish Origins

Polish far-right Visegrád 24 behind new Middle East 24 project

A site called Visegrád 24 – read our reporting about it – rode the waves of military conflicts and social media angst to become a household name on X. Its new project, Middle East 24, is aiming to do the same.

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Orbán-AfD-Like Bloc Rises in Czech Elections Showdown

Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2025: 29 September - 5 October

František Matějka might be Andrej Babiš’s kingmaker in the upcoming parliamentary election in the Czech Republic. He is the leader of the Motorists for Themselves (AUTO), a Eurosceptic, right-wing, libertarian party which continues to hover just above the 5% threshold to enter power in current opinion polls.

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Europe Future Forum Grapples with Enlargement Amid Economic Perils

A recap of the annual strategic foresight event

In the shadow of Russian drone incursions and a fracturing global trade order, the Europe Future Forum 2025 kicked off in Warsaw last week, blending high-stakes foresight with a clarion call for EU enlargement as the ultimate bulwark against economic insecurity.

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The Kremlin Tests Europe’s Defences without Firing a Shot

From drones and arson to AI-driven influence campaigns

From Ukraine to the Nordics, the Kremlin’s hybrid tactics are no longer isolated operations – they form a coordinated campaign aimed at exhausting Europe’s defences and sowing instability across the continent.

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Europe Confronts Russia, Recession and Rivalries – INTERVIEW

An interview with Constanze Stelzenmüller

With Russia testing NATO, the US reshaping its global role through economic pressure, and traditional leaders like Germany facing economic headwinds, Europe is entering a moment of profound uncertainty. How should it respond? What role will Germany play, and how will Warsaw and Berlin navigate their fraught ties?

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Diplomacy and Drones. NATO’s Eastern Flank Makes Global Offensive 

Democratic and Economic Security Outlook 2025: 22-28 September

Russian attacks on Estonia and Poland have made urgent the need to bolster NATO’s eastern airspace. Cue Commissioner Kubilius’s idea to build a ‘drone wall’ – with plans to convene talks between defence ministers from around the region.

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What About The Trade Wars? Europe’s Uncertain China Strategy – INTERVIEW

An interview with Noah Barkin

As Donald Trump began his second term in office, European officials hoped that the need to act against China would bridge transatlantic relations. Instead, Europe would go on to experience economic coercion like never before, caught between US trade threats and China’s rare earth controls. So, what strategy should Europe...

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Shielding European Democracy

The critical question for democracies today is how to wield their collective will and resources for a credible defence posture. For now, European democrats are primarily reactive and demobilised against mounting geopolitical pressures. This report presents perspectives on how the EU can safeguard democracies, based on the EU Values Foresight project conducted in four Central European countries.

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